Cost-Benefit Analysis
A method for comparing alternatives' costs and benefits in a common monetary unit. Align the analytical perspective and period, and report present values alongside impacts that cannot be monetized. [1]
- Difficulty
- Advanced
- Cost
- High
- Duration
- Planning example, not a universal standard duration: 2–6 months when benefit measurement and data collection are included
How it works at a glance
Define comparators, such as doing nothing or usual practice, and identify additional resource costs and benefits. Convert values over multiple years to the same point in time using a discount rate and price basis appropriate to the applicable system. [1]
Net present value is the present value of benefits minus the present value of costs. Do not choose solely by the benefit–cost ratio: consider scale, budget, distribution, impacts difficult to monetize, and results under different assumptions. [1]
When to use it and when it is unsuitable
When to use it
- When infrastructure projects such as roads, bridges and ports require evidence of social justification and investment priorities
- When comparing regulatory or policy costs and benefits to demonstrate the relative efficiency of alternatives
- When selecting the approach and scale with the highest benefits relative to costs among alternatives
- When expressing grants' or subsidies' effects in monetary terms to meet accountability requirements to funders
When it is unsuitable
- In fields such as health, welfare and education where monetizing benefits is ethically or technically difficult. Cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) or cost-utility analysis (CUA) is more appropriate.
- During emergency response or small evaluations with extremely limited budgets and time. Data collection and analysis are costly.
- When distributive justice—who benefits and who pays—is the main evaluation criterion. CBA prioritizes aggregate efficiency and obscures distributional issues.
Participants, roles, and deliverables
Participants and roles
Economics or public finance specialist leading the analysis, program staff or engineers providing cost information, and statistics or survey staff conducting willingness-to-pay surveys. An external reviewer is desirable.
Main deliverables
- Cost and benefit table by item and year
- NPV, B/C ratio and IRR calculation worksheet
- Sensitivity analysis table for key parameters
- CBA report covering assumptions, methods, results and limitations
Implementation steps
- Define the scope and perspectiveSet the analytical perspective—society, government or a particular group—and the temporal and geographical scope. State the perspective at the outset because it changes the coverage of costs and benefits.
- Identify and account for costsIdentify additional resource use and external impacts relative to the comparator. For future choices, distinguish unrecoverable sunk costs from future opportunity costs. For ex-post evaluation, state the relevant period and cost coverage separately.
- Identify and classify benefitsList direct and indirect benefits and positive and negative externalities comprehensively. Diagram and organize benefit flows to avoid double counting.
- Monetize benefitsUse market prices where available. For non-market benefits, estimate shadow prices using willingness-to-pay surveys, including contingent valuation or choice experiments, or surrogate-market methods, including hedonic pricing or travel costs. Always document the valuation method and its basis.
- Select discount rates and calculate present valuesSelect the discount rate and base year from guidance applicable to the analysis purpose, subject and recipient. Keep nominal and real values consistent, and discount future costs and benefits to present value. Show sensitivity to other reasonable settings.
- Calculate NPV, B/C ratio and IRRReport NPV = benefit PV − cost PV, and B/C ratio = benefit PV ÷ cost PV. Even with positive NPV, consider unmonetized impacts, distribution, budget constraints and alternatives. If using IRR, consider absent or multiple solutions and inconsistent rankings.
- Analyze sensitivity and disclose uncertaintyUse evidence-based alternative settings or ranges for benefits, costs, demand and discount rates to show how NPV, B/C ratios and decisions change. Do not restrict analysis to changing everything by the same percentage.
- Add analysis of distribution and justiceDescribe how beneficiaries and cost bearers are distributed beyond the aggregate figures, and add qualitative comments on justice. Describe impacts on disadvantaged groups separately.
Strengths and limitations
Strengths
- Comparing costs and benefits in common monetary units enables prioritization across policies and alternatives.
- Provides clear decision criteria in NPV and the B/C ratio, widely recognized as a basis for accountability.
- The transparent process can withstand external review when assumptions and premises are explicit.
- Combined with sensitivity analysis, it quantifies uncertainty in decision-making.
Limitations
- Monetary valuation, especially willingness-to-pay estimates and the value of life, depends on the methods and survey design, so results can differ substantially for the same program.
- NPV varies with the timing of future costs and benefits and the discount rate, requiring justification and sensitivity analysis.
- Structurally tends to prioritize efficiency, maximizing aggregate net benefits, and undervalue distributive justice and impacts on vulnerable groups.
- Monetizing environmental, cultural or life-related values may encounter ethical or political resistance.
Common pitfalls
- Double counting benefits. Counting both time savings and increased land prices as road improvement benefits can count the same benefit twice.
- Estimating benefits optimistically and understating costs. Refer to comparable programs' actual results and estimation errors, and explain evidence-based adjustments and scenarios.
- Reporting a single NPV without sensitivity analysis conceals uncertainty and gives decision-makers false confidence.
- Do not select a discount rate to fit a conclusion. Changing rates affects results differently depending on cost and benefit timing; report future costs, future benefits and calculation results.
Conditions of use and evidence
- Compare costs and benefits at present value, and separately report unmonetized impacts and important assumptions. [1]
Estimate two years of consultation procedure improvements
A fictional illustrative calculation with an initial cost of JPY 1,000,000, benefits of JPY 600,000 after both 1 and 2 years, no additional costs, and a 5% discount rate.
Scroll horizontally to view the table
| Item | Calculation | Fictional value |
|---|---|---|
| Present value of benefits | 60/1.05+60/1.05² | Approximately JPY 1,115,600 |
| Present value of costs | Initial cost: 100 | JPY 1,000,000 |
| Net present value | 111.56−100 | Approximately JPY 115,600 |
| Benefit–cost ratio | 111.56/100 | Approximately 1.116 |
Common errors in judgment
Assuming the highest benefit–cost ratio is always best
How to revise
Compare scale, budget, net benefits and non-monetary impacts together.
ReasonThe ratio does not capture all net value generated or all aspects of equity.
Adding a cash transfer as a net benefit to society
How to revise
Align whose costs and benefits are counted and distinguish transfers.
ReasonThe same payment is a transfer between payer and recipient.
References and checked sections
- The Green Book (2026)HM Treasury · 2026
- Section consulted
- Chapter 6: Shortlist appraisal / Summary metrics of social value
- How it relates to the text
- Compare costs and benefits at present value, and separately report unmonetized impacts and important assumptions.
Editorial and checking information
How to cite this page
Change history
- — Checked sources for definitions and applicability conditions, and added fictional examples, reasons for judgments and examples for every worksheet field. Revised unverified claims about history and adoption. Also reviewed existing procedures and cautions, and adjusted fixed participant counts and thresholds and generalizations about institutions. Preserved field positions, types and counts while revising fixed conditions and thresholds in the forms.
- — Correction based on independent content review (content-check-causal). Revised the worksheet to distinguish excluding sunk costs for future choices from including additional resource costs within the period covered by ex-post evaluation.


